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Saturday, April 25, 2015

3052: Food

3052: Food

It requires 10 pounds of grain to produce 1 pound of beef.  The luxury of feeding corn, oats and barley to livestock will be obviated by the need to feed that 10 pounds to 20 humans instead of 8 ounce steaks to two.  The more flavorful proteins in the form of beef, pork, chicken, eggs and other industry raised animal products are highly energy intensive.

Every stage in the conversion of plant nutrients to animal nutrients involves another quantity of external energy to be put into the system.  Inefficient metabolic processes produce huge amounts of waste that also needs to be processed using even more external energy.

The billions of more human mouths to feed will demand the grains rather than the meat.  We already see this dilemma in the desire to extract ethanol from corn to fuel our automobiles.  We cannot grow enough corn to fuel both the vehicle and the driver.

The bounty from the sea we are discovering and harvesting is not inexhaustible nor is it exactly free for the taking.  If we fish the national waters of a country that country expects to derive an income for that privilege.  Where there is not functioning government to charge and collect the fees, lawlessness prevails.  Fishing fleets plunder the waters of another land without regard to sustainability and villagers set out in small boats to confront the monster factory-fishing fleets.  The thieves meet the pirates and create a whole new aspect of global food supply.  In the centuries that pass between today and 3052, the issue of territorial fishing rights and piracy on the seas will also pass into insignificance when the fish themselves fail to populate the waters in sufficient numbers to make a fishing fleet usable at all.

In the world of the early 21st century the generation of protein is a biological one where seeds are sown, watered, chemically treated then harvested. Humans either eat the crops themselves or intermediary animals consume the plants then we consume the animals. Both variations are energy intensive and subject to the whims of the weather, longer term climate and the cyclic emergence of insect raiders that devastate our food supply. Ultimately there are but a few essential proteins that we need for our lives that our bodies cannot make for themselves. In that distant time, we will cut to the chase and manufacture those essential proteins without the need for plant crops and animal intermediaries to make them for us.

Similarly, we will come to realize that locusts, beetles and other crop eating insects are themselves a source of protein. While some lesser developed societies readily eat insects, we eschew such practices in favor of poisoning them and our crops. Then we consume the poisoned crops. In our Third Millennium future, crops and insects will be harvested together and processed into the unidentifiable packaged stuff on the shelves of today.

Food will become an even more mechanized and industrial process that leaves out the aesthetics of taste and texture going only for the nutritional value. Even as those processes work, scientists have been able to coax beef muscle to grow in a Petri dish. Alas, meat without the cow. Maybe chicken without the hens.  Bacon and ham without the pigs. The steady march of technological advancements will bring about the streamlining of food production in the world. Cutting out the inefficiencies of animal husbandry will be a necessary part of serving the tastes of the human palette.


Much of the processed food that is marketed in the 21st century is 50% or more sugar. Massive amounts of fats and other carbohydrates are the hallmark of the snacks we consume as though they were meals. During the run up to the 3rd Millennium, humans on a global scale will become heavier, less healthy, less active, and die at a younger age. This process will be fostered by the profits derived by the industries that produce the sugars, starches and fats that humans love to consume. Even though this degradation will be global and widespread, it will not be long lived.  

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